The relationship between time allocation and participation in the bolsa família program: evidence from Rio Grande do Sul

Authors

  • Vivian dos Santos Queiroz Orellana Universidade Federal do Rio Grande
  • Jorge Alberto Orellana Aragón Universidade Federal do Rio Grande
  • Joana Cecy Silva Branco Universidade Federal do Rio Grande
  • Bruna Fonseca de Pinho Universidade Federal do Rio Grande

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.31501/rbee.v25i1.15479

Abstract

This article analyzes the effects of the Bolsa Família Program (PBF) on the time allocation of young mothers (ages 15-29) in Rio Grande do Sul, using data
from the 2010 Census. Applying multinomial logit and Propensity Score Matching (PSM), it investigates whether beneficiaries are more likely to be “NEET” (neither studying nor working). The multinomial logit results indicate that PBF increases the likelihood of being NEET by 60% and of studying only by 53%, compared to studying and working. PSM shows a modest average effect but reveals age heterogeneity:
among women aged 21-29, the probability of being NEET is 8 percentage points higher than for non-beneficiaries. These findings suggest the need to revise the PBF design and integrate it with active employment, education, and childcare policies
to reduce inactivity and foster greater economic autonomy among young mothers.

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Published

2025-11-19

Issue

Vol. 25 No. 1 (2025): Desenvolvimento Econômico

Section

Artigos

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